The peace
movement said that the wars on Afghanistan and Iraq were oil wars. Afghanistan
was about building a huge pipeline and Iraq has the second largest oil
reserves in the world.
The US has forced the Iraqi government to privatise most of its economy,
including its oil.
Iraq: The Oil Story
By
Research by Greg Palast on BBC's Newsnight revealed that the motives
in Washington for the Iraq war were even more sinister than we first thought.
The Bush administration wants to use Iraq's oil to destroy the OPEC cartel.
The Organisation of Petroleum Exporting Countries exists to keep the
price of oil high and steady. As the US is the largest consumer of the
world's oil, they want very cheap oil for their economy. Indeed during
the initial stages of the Iraq invasion, senior Bush administration figures
said if the price of oil after the war was only $25 a barrel then the
war would have been well worth it. The price of oil then was $32 a barrel.
The US planned to use Iraq's oil to control the world's economies. When
Tony Benn interviewed Saddam Hussein just before the war, Saddam said
if the US controlled Iraq's oil as well as effectively controlling Saudi
Arabia's oil, the US would not just dominate the Middle East but also
the world. By managing the region's oil, they could slow down or halt
India or Japan's or even China's development.
American power is slowly waning and it is being challenged. The US dollar
- the world's reserve and number one currency - is under threat. As of
this moment Iran is considering pricing its oil in Euros and even OPEC
has said it may consider the move in the future. Venezuela no longer prices
its oil in dollars.
The US economy benefits massively from having its currency as the world's
reserve currency. Central banks have to hold huge stocks of US dollars
because the world's oil is priced in it. This creates an insatiable demand
for US dollars and allows Bush to borrow unprecedented amounts of money
at the lowest interest rates.
This has funded
their huge budget and trade deficits. Firstly, because the US was de-industrialized
in the 1980s, the country imports far more than it exports. Also, because
they have a strong dollar those goods have been imported extremely cheaply,
and this has helped keep some Americans in a high standard of living.
Then there is the budget deficit. The first thing that George Bush did
when he came to office was to increase military spending from 350 billion
dollars a year under Clinton to 396 billion. The US can't afford it so
it has borrowed, and the US is today the most indebted nation on earth.
When I was growing up, if a nation had a huge budget deficit and a huge
trade deficit the country would be considered an economic basket case
and the IMF would be called in to to sort out the country's finances.
But the US gets away with it because of the status of its currency.
As we can see how vital this is to the US economy, can you imagine what
George Bush thought when Saddam Hussein decided in the year 2000 to price
Iraq's oil in Euros? Saddam's decision to do this could have been the
tipping factor in George Bush's decision to invade.
The US slide doesn't end there. Precisely because of the war, a whole
number of oil producing countries are getting together to gang up on Bush.
Canada - which used to sell its oil to the US - is now selling it to China.
When they concluded the deal they issued a communiqué, which stated
that both countries believed in a world where multi-lateral institutions
were supported and not undermined. That was a direct stab at the US administration.
Venezuela wishes to sell its oil to China rather than the US.
Bush may have started this war with the object of getting world oil prices
down to $25 a barrel; but today it's $70+ a barrel.
In summary, the madmen in the White House believe that fighting these
wars will help maintain the US empire and keep the dollar in prime position.
The effect however is the opposite.
The Iraqi resistance has effectively defeated the United States and in
a couple of years US troops will leave in large numbers. This then leaves
the question of the fourteen US bases there and the contracts drawn up
by the puppet government in Baghdad with Western corporations.
My view is that the Iraqi government will not maintain itself without
the direct support of the US army and will fall, and whoever takes over
in Iraq will repudiate the contracts and tell Washington to close its
bases and get out.
Therefore at the end of Bush's Iraq adventure, having spent a thousand
billion dollars or more, the deaths of thousands of their troops and half
a million dead Iraqi civilians, the US will find itself with greatly reduced
influence in the Middle East and the rest of the world.
The United States may still be the world's only superpower but it is
greatly weakened and loathed throughout the world, while it faces a strengthening
China, India and a resurgent Russia. That's a far cry from its position
just after the collapse of the USSR or its almost omniscient power after
World War Two.
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